AI might start killing jobs en masse and sending inequality to the moon. We don’t know. But it hasn’t yet, and it’s important to understand why each burst of AI pessimism so far has been a false alarm.
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I think, in general, people are afraid to say “I don’t know.” I have a hypothesis that “I don’t know” is essentially coded as agreeing with whatever outcome is less politically or culturally aligned. I have no data for this, though.